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TTM TECHNOLOGIES INC (TTMI)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 delivered broad-based strength with revenue $752.7M (+22% y/y), non-GAAP EPS $0.67 (record), and adjusted EBITDA $120.9M (16.1% margin); both revenue and EPS exceeded S&P Global consensus and came in above the high end of guidance . Q3 revenue beat vs S&P: $752.7M vs $711.9M*; EPS beat: $0.67 vs $0.6025*.
- AI demand was the primary driver (Data Center Computing +44% y/y; Networking +35% y/y), while A&D remained 45% of sales with pull-forward from Q4; auto was soft on inventory adjustments .
- Q4 2025 guidance: revenue $730–$770M and non-GAAP EPS $0.64–$0.70, with expense and rate guardrails (SG&A ~8.9% of sales; R&D ~1%; tax 11–15%); consensus revenue at ~$753M* sits near the midpoint .
- Key catalysts: sustained AI-led upside, resilient A&D backlog (~$1.46B) with specific program wins (AMRAAM, PDRS, APS-153), improving Penang ramp (lower bps drag), and progress on Syracuse ultra-HDI facility (H2’26 volume) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- AI-driven demand accelerated: Data Center Computing +44% y/y; Networking +35% y/y; management expects Data Center to reach ~28% of Q4 sales, indicating continued momentum .
- A&D outperformance and visibility: 45% of Q3 sales (record high), strong bookings and ~$1.46B backlog; some Q4 sales pulled into Q3, but demand and program alignment remain strong .
- Record profitability and cash generation: non-GAAP EPS $0.67 (record), adjusted EBITDA $120.9M (16.1% margin), and cash from operations $141.8M (18.8% of sales) . CEO: “revenues and non-GAAP EPS above the high end of the guided range… driven primarily by the requirements of generative AI” .
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What Went Wrong
- Gross margin diluted slightly y/y on ramp costs: non-GAAP gross margin 21.5% vs 22.0% y/y; management cited Penang ramp as the main headwind .
- Automotive weakness: 11% of sales vs 14% y/y due to inventory adjustments and soft demand at several customers; expected to decline to ~9% in Q4 .
- FX and startup impacts persist: realized FX loss and continuing Penang startup drag, though improving (≈195 bps drag in Q3 vs ≈210 bps in Q2; forecast ≈160 bps in Q4) .
Financial Results
Summary vs prior year and prior quarter
Versus S&P Global consensus and guidance
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Segment performance
End-market mix
Key KPIs
Notes on non-GAAP: Beginning Q1’25, unrealized FX gains/losses are excluded from non-GAAP net income, EPS, and adjusted EBITDA; prior periods restated for consistency .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic positioning: “Revenues grew 22% year on year reflecting continued demand strength in our Data Center Computing and Networking end markets, driven primarily by the requirements of generative AI… Medical, Industrial and Instrumentation and Aerospace and Defense also experienced double-digit… growth” .
- Profitability and cash: “Adjusted EBITDA margins were a healthy 16.1%… cash flow from operations was… 18.8% of revenues” .
- AI and A&D mix: “Approximately 80% of our total sales in the quarter related to two very strong industries: aerospace and defense, and AI” .
- Penang ramp: “In Q3, [Penang] was about 195 bps to the bottom line… improving from Q2’s ~210 bps; forecasting ~160 bps in Q4” .
- Capacity/technology: “In the U.S., we are still the number one [PCB player]… globally number six or seven; Data Center about number three or four” . “We are demonstrating 87 layers… making really, really good progress” .
Q&A Highlights
- Data Center visibility and capacity: Visibility 6–9 months; capacity balanced across North America and Asia; serving top players .
- Penang impact improving: Startup headwind improved to ~195 bps in Q3 from ~210 bps in Q2; forecast ~160 bps in Q4 as yields improve and customer qualifications progress (five customers targeted by year-end) .
- Competitive position: #1 PCB player in U.S.; globally ~#6–7 overall; ~#3–4 in Data Center .
- Technology roadmap: Demonstrating 87-layer boards; focus on higher-density designs and R&D to sustain leadership .
- Financial guardrails for Q4: Detailed SG&A, R&D, interest, tax, D&A, SBC, and share count guidance provided to frame non-GAAP EPS range .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025: TTMI beat S&P Global consensus on revenue ($752.7M vs $711.9M*) and EPS ($0.67 vs $0.6025*), with EBITDA also above consensus ($120.9M vs $109.2M*) .
- Q4 2025: Revenue guidance $730–$770M brackets consensus ~$753.0M*; EPS guidance $0.64–$0.70 brackets consensus ~$0.6825*, suggesting a “meet to modest beat” setup if AI/A&D strength persists . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- AI remains the core upside engine: Data Center and Networking growth exceeded expectations and should remain elevated into Q4, supporting sustained revenue outperformance .
- A&D provides durable ballast and visibility: Large, diversified backlog and program wins underpin stability; Q3 benefited from pull-forward into the quarter .
- Profitability resilient despite ramp costs: Adjusted EBITDA margin at 16.1% with improving Penang headwinds indicates scope for operating leverage as yields rise .
- Cash generation improving: $141.8M operating cash (~18.8% of sales) enhances flexibility for capacity, R&D, and potential M&A amid secular growth drivers .
- Q4 guide consistent with consensus: Guidance brackets Street on both revenue and EPS; execution on AI programs and A&D timing are the swing factors .
- Medium-term catalysts: Syracuse ultra-HDI ramp (H2’26), Penang second facility timing optionality, and technology leadership (e.g., 87-layer boards) position TTMI for structurally higher mix and margins .
- Watch list: Automotive softness risk, FX and startup drags, and any macro/tariff spillovers—management currently sees limited direct tariff impact due to diversified footprint .
Appendix: Additional Data
End markets and segments (detail)
Other relevant press releases: recognition awards (Oct 31) underscore domain leadership and industry engagement in Asia, indirectly supporting employer brand and ecosystem credibility .
Disclosures on non-GAAP methodology changes: From Q1’25, unrealized FX is excluded from non-GAAP; historicals revised for comparability .
Citations:
- Q3 2025 press release and tables .
- 8-K and exhibits .
- Q3 2025 earnings call transcript .
- Q2 2025 press release (results and guidance) .
- Q1 2025 press release .
- Other Q3 2025 press release (awards) .